Macro Risk Indicator
Current Risk Level
0
Minimal Risk
Minimal Risk
50
Moderate
Moderate
100
Extreme Risk
Extreme Risk
Last updated: Aug 21, 2026
Risk Factor Breakdown
Earnings Seasons
Quarterly reporting periods
Quarterly reporting periods
0.0
US Market Holidays
VIX levels & sentiment
VIX levels & sentiment
6.6
Economic Data Releases
CPI, Jobs, GDP releases
CPI, Jobs, GDP releases
78.6
Federal Reserve (FOMC)
FOMC meetings & rate decisions
FOMC meetings & rate decisions
3.0
Market Volatility (VIX)
VIX levels & sentiment
VIX levels & sentiment
25.0
Trading Recommendation
✅ LOW RISK: Generally favorable conditions for day trading.
📉 Economic data day: Expect volatility at 8:30 AM ET around PCE, CPI, Jobs, GDP, and durable goods releases. Size down until after the print.
30-Day Risk History
Upcoming High-Impact Events (Next 30 Days)
| Date | Event | Type | Impact | Days Until |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, Thu |
Core PCE Price Index MoM
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 6d |
| Aug 27, Thu |
GDP Growth Rate QoQ
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 6d |
| Aug 28, Fri |
U-Michigan Consumer Sentiment
Scheduled 10:00 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 4 | 7d |
| Sep 01, Tue |
JOLTS Job Openings
Scheduled 10:00 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 11d |
| Sep 01, Tue |
ISM Manufacturing PMI
Scheduled 10:00 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 11d |
| Sep 03, Thu |
ISM Services PMI
Scheduled 10:00 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 13d |
| Sep 04, Fri |
Nonfarm Payrolls
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 14d |
| Sep 04, Fri |
Unemployment Rate
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 4 | 14d |
| Sep 04, Fri |
Friday Before Labor Day
Bridge day with typically lower volume and participation. Many traders extend their holiday. Use caution with position sizing.
|
Holiday Proximity | Level 3 | 14d |
|
Sep 07, Mon
Closed |
Market Holiday - Market Closed
US stock markets closed for holiday
|
Holiday Proximity | Level 5 | 17d |
| Sep 10, Thu |
Existing Home Sales MoM
Scheduled 10:00 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 4 | 20d |
| Sep 11, Fri |
U-Michigan Consumer Sentiment
Scheduled 10:00 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 4 | 21d |
| Sep 11, Fri |
CPI MoM
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 21d |
| Sep 13, Sun |
CPI Report (Consumer Price Index)
Monthly CPI at 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 23d |
| Sep 14, Mon |
CPI Report (Consumer Price Index)
Monthly CPI at 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 5 | 24d |
| Sep 16, Wed |
Retail Sales MoM
Scheduled 08:30 AM ET
|
Economic Data Release | Level 4 | 26d |
| Sep 17, Thu |
FOMC Meeting & Rate Decision
Federal Open Market Committee meeting concludes. Interest rate decision and policy statement released at 2:00 PM ET. Press conference with Fed Chair typically follows.
|
Federal Reserve Events | Level 5 | 27d |